Guatemala Economic Outlook,
GEO, is the upgraded version of Early Warning
System (product had created for seven years for
accrediting banks as main clients) that, with
monthly frecuency and in english version, since
September 2005 are endowed of a bigger number
of sections* and adapted to a Rating of Country
Risk method** by means of a wide key range of
indicators (macroeconomic components, macrofinancial
and external components, and financial & banking
componets) that determine a detailed temporary
series of Global Level of Country Risk . In summary,
an alert ranget and a rating (qualification) quantified
through synthetic indicator and standard nomenclature
of letters. This product is designed for accrediting
banks, local banks, official organisms and, companies
with foreing relationships.
*Sections: Executive Summary, Basic Prospect Table,
EWS-Early Warning System, Statistical Annex, Charts,
Recent News and special annex.
**It is a rating system that combines macroeconomic,
banking and financial indicators, of foreign and
domestic context, which have been leading indicators
in third generation crisis since 90's end. The
methodology can add variables to improve the integrity
and power of both national and local currency
ratings, and/or; re-scale the own score system
for each indicator depending on sensibility of
market conditions and evolution of emerging economies.
Anyway, more score (0.0-100.0) implies more risk,
more volatile and vulnerability levels. |